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06/09/2010 - Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Milwaukee Brewers catcher Gregg Zaun will have surgery on his shoulder next Tuesday to repair a torn labrum, an injury which is season-ending and may be career-ending.
The Journal-Sentinel reported Wednesday that the procedure will be performed on his right shoulder in Cincinnati by Reds team doctor Timothy Kremchek and ends Zaun's year after just 28 games.
The 16-year veteran inked a $1.9 million deal in the offseason as a free agent from Tampa Bay and hit .265 with two homers and 14 RBI. His contract includes an team option for $2.25 million in 2011 with a $250,000 buyout.
Zaun believes the option won't be exercised even if the surgery allows him to return to play, due to his age (39) and the fact that the recovery time is 4-to-6 months.
<< Roethlisberger trooper friend wanted role kept mum
MILLEDGEVILLE, Ga. (AP) -A Pennsylvania state trooper who was with Ben Roethlisberger the night the Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback was accused of sexual assault in Georgia was worried the department would find out.In an interview, Ed Joyner asks a
<< Broncos sign 5th-round pick Perrish Cox
ENGLEWOOD, Colo. (AP) -The Denver Broncos have signed cornerback Perrish Cox, their fifth-round pick out of Oklahoma State.Cox became the third player from the Broncos' 2010 draft class to agree to a deal. Seventh-round picks Jammie Kirlew and Syd'Q
<< Rodgers regrets airing criticism of announcers
GREEN BAY, Wis. (AP) -Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers says he regrets airing his complaints about ESPN's ``Monday Night Football'' broadcast team in a recent radio interview.Speaking with ESPN Milwaukee 540 AM this week, Rodgers sharply
<< Beat LA? Not recently at home for the Celtics
BOSTON (AP) -The fans still chant ``Beat L.A! Beat L.A!'', but the Celtics haven't done it in Boston in a while.The Lakers' 91-84 victory in Game 3 was their third straight victory in the TD Garden. Los Angeles has won here in each of the last two r
Johnson agrees to become Nets head coach >>
Bristol, CT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Avery Johnson has confirmed that he has come
to a verbal agreement to become the next head coach of the New Jersey Nets.
Johnson will return to the sidelines after a two-year absence and inherit a
team t
Report: USC gets NCAA report, details coming later this week >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The University of Southern California has
reportedly received a report from the NCAA regarding its investigation into
allegations of violations within the athletics program stemming from ex-
Trojans
Byfuglien, Hartnell tally in first period of Game 6 >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Flyers and Chicago
Blackhawks are tied at 1-1 after one period of play in Game 6 of the
Stanley Cup Finals from Wachovia Center.
The Blackhawks got on the board during th
NASCAR hands severe penalties to Front Row Motorsports >>
Daytona Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - NASCAR doled out huge penalties Wednesday
to Front Row Motorsports in the wake of illegal valve stem caps that were used
on Travis Kvapil's car last weekend during the Gillette Fusion ProGlide 500.
NASCAR
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined
Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.
"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."
Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)
According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.
As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).
Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.
Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at
17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.
*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007
New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers
By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.
"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."
While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."
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